From the Fog Island Tavern
……………………………………………….Discourse Bog-Hubert Thinking (of some kind)
– Say, Vodçek: What is Bog-Hubert doodling over there? So engrossed in his bubbles… Not even noticing his coffee getting cold?
– Yes, Sophie, I’ve been wondering too. He does get intense trying to think sometimes. Must be some bug Abbé Boulah put in his ear: they had a long discussion here about something a while ago. Did you hear what it was about, Dexter? Sitting closer to them, weren’t you?
– Yes, but I didn’t understand what it was about. Sounded like some new economic or governance system they are trying out over on the Rigatopia rig. Made me curious all right, but I wanted to wait to ask them to explain until they’d worked it out. But then Abbé Boulah had to go somewhere, left Bog-Hubert stewing in his bubble network, lost in his system loops. So I guess it’s not fully cooked yet, what he’s stewing over.
………………………………………………………………………….Throwing Out the Old System?
– Systems, huh? About government? It’s about time we got some systems thinking into that.
– Come on, Vodçek: Isn’t the government the very system that’s gotten so rotten it really should be replaced?
– Why Sophie, I am shocked. Have you gotten into the throw-out-the system crowd too?
– I don’t know about that, Vodçek. I just hear so much talk about ‘new system’ this, ‘new system’ that, — if the system is so bad, why do we need more ‘systems thinking’ to fix it?
– So you are into the new ‘awareness’, the holism, Gaia, the WE not ME movements? Don’t they all want to throw out the current ‘system’? Even the folks who are ranting against BIG Government, even as they are running like crazy to get to run it?
– Don’t throw all that into the same trash bin, Vodçek. There are differences: ‘throwing out’ is one thing, but what some of those people are talking about is ‘system transformation’. And I don’t think you’ll deny that there are some things that are very wrong in the current ‘system’ or whatever you want to call it?
– Okay, should we try to sort this out? Maybe professor Balthus — just coming in there — can help? Good morning, professor.
– Good morning. Help out with what? If you can get me some coffee, Vodçek, and explain your conundrum, I’ll try.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………..Conundrum?
– Well, here’s your coffee. Now, I don’t know if it qualifies as conundrum. It is a little strange. We are seeing Bog-Hubert over there, uncharacteristically oblivious to anything else around him, working on some diagram. We suspect it’s about a system of some kind — he’s already used up four of my napkins. And while we were speculating about what it might be, the unsavory issue came up about all those movements that are calling for systems change, new systems, awareness and throwing out the old system etc. Did I state that to your satisfaction, Sophie? Dexter?
– You left out ‘system transformation’, Vodçek.
– Sorry about that. Okay, Transformation, too.
– I see. No, wait: I don’t see. What’s the problem?
…………………………………………………………………………………………Problem Embryonics
– Ahh yes, the problem. There seems to be an embryonic but, I suspect, fundamental disagreement: Calls for more ‘systems thinking’ clashing ominously with calls for throwing out the system, and all the thinking associated with it. Getting close to a quarrgument.
– Oh brother. A systembryonic quarrgument? Calls for more coffee, make sure I’m really awake yet. Well, I agree that ‘the system’ they are complaining about has some, let’s say, inherent problems. But I confess that I have gotten tired, in my old days, of all those calls for throwing out the system, in whatever new ideological or spiritual getup or camouflage?
– Why is that?
……………………………………………….’System Transformation’ — Or ‘Regime Change?
– Oh: Take a look at history. Some older and recent experiences with system overthrow, for example. Revolutions. Some of those were motivated by ‘systems overthrow’ of the ‘new system’ kind. Others were acclaimed, if not secretly or openly supported, by folks who would arguably be considered by the former as representing the ‘old system’ — as just a different system. They tended to call it ‘regime change’ — even if the ‘transformation’ turned out just as revoltingly bloody and disgusting as the revolutions of the first kind. So is it necessary to take sides, to recognize that in too many cases the outcome was strikingly similar?
– What do you mean?
– Well, look at what happened! Yes, they got rid of some nasty people. Tyrants, dictators. Installed ‘democracy’, perhaps, or some regime based on religion. With new leaders, the heroes of the revolution? Or relics from some still earlier old regime two or more revolutions back, bringing back the oh so good old days? Either way: a few years later: they look suspiciously like just another oligarchy or dictatorship. And the calls for throwing out the rascals starts all over. Do we ever learn?
– Huh.
……………………………………………………………………………………..What Are We Missing?
– So what’s the lesson there? What are we missing?
– Good question, Sophie. And I don’t see it being asked — it’s asking what’s missing from both, from all the old and new systems, what’s the common flaw?
– Why is that, professor?
– If I knew the right answer to that, would I be sitting here letting my coffee get cold? Even to that one, there are several hypotheses, theories. You have one, Vodçek? Or you, Commissioner? I see you both twitching.
– Yes. Isn’t it obvious? The people where we tried to help getting democracy, they’re just not ready for it. They need strong leaders, but they don’t know how to elect the right ones.
– Ah, you mean US?
– No domestic politicking here, folks, or I put diuretics in your coffee and send you off into the poison ivy brambles outside to pee.
– Trying for a strongman stature, are you, Vodçek? Getting with those trends?
– Seriously, guys: is this a matter for bad jokes?
– Okay, Sophie: what’s y o u r theory? Spiritual awakening? Prayer back into the schools? Or closing public schools and leave education to the churches, synagogues, mosques? Pagan full moon dances in the steaming jungles of North Florida?
– That’s it, Vodçek: You a r e using the strong man tactic to scare us out of our wits!
– Well, professor: I assume you’re going suggest a stronger role of science in governance, aren’t you?
………………………………………………………………………………..Detour: Science in Charge?
– Wouldn’t hurt, but if you expect me to argue for scientists to trun government, to become the great leaders, no. No philosopher-kings either, much as I hate to get into quarrels with Plato fans.
– Didn’t we discuss this issue some time ago here, about how designers, planners, and I assume government leaders should take a lesson from that science rule about hypothesis-testing?
– You mean Abbé Boulah’s adaptation of Popper’s refutation rule?
– Yeah, that’s the one — let’s ask Bog-Hubert about that, he knows Abbé Boulah better. Bog-Hubert: can you take a break from your doodling?
– Yes, yes, Sophie, I heard that, you guys were starting to raise your voices. What Popper said was something like this:
“We are entitled to tentatively accept a scientific hypothesis
(he means some speculation about how the world works)
to the extent we have done our very best to test it —
which means to find evidence — to show that it is wrong, —
and it has survived all those tests.”
Wasn’t that it, professor?
– As far as I remember, yes.
– So even in science, it’s still tentative, no certainty?
– Right, Sophie. Halfway. Maybe we can be certain that when we observe a black swan, the hypothesis that swans are white is wrong?
– Okay. But why ‘halfway’?
……………………………………………………..Abbé Boulah’s Adaptation of Popper’s Rule
– Look at the mantra: It says “tentatively accept” — and “to the extent” etc. Leaving the warning that we might have done some more rigorous testing, tried out some better hypotheses, to become more confident. But never totally certain. Part of that is getting into details, in science, about how to frame hypotheses and how they fit into more general theories, about probability and so on. But it’s actually clearer when we look at Abbé Boulah’s adaptation of that rule to planning: We don’t have tests on the basis of observation and measurement in planning, because planning is all about the future which isn’t here yet. So it replaces ‘test‘ with ‘argument‘. It goes something like this:
“We can accept a planning proposal as tentatively plausible
(only) to the extent we have done our very best
to expose it to the most critical arguments against it, (the ‘cons’)
and it has survived all those arguments —
meaning that the cons have been shown to either be flawed
or outweighed by the pro arguments in its favor”
– I see, Bog-Hubert. The ‘halfway’ point you mentioned is that just because we have countered all the con argument against a plan, it isn’t a certain proof like the black swan. But there may be better proposals, or it may solve the wrong problem or be the wrong way of talking about it?
– Couldn’t have said it better myself. And don’t forget that different folks doing the ‘weighing’ — to outweigh the cons, as the rule suggests — may come to different results.
………………………………………………………..Back to the Issue: What Are We Missing?
– So getting back to our issue here, professor: Would one of the theories explaining why we keep making the same mistakes with governance systems, be that we don’t know how to argue well enough about plans, — in all governance systems? And about governance systems?
– That’s a good candidate. I’d say it’s part of the problem. But there are others, I’m sure you know: you mentioned ‘systems thinking’, and other approaches, many consultants’ brands of institutional change management. But do we have to go through all of those?
– Well… I guess, when you said you didn’t have the answer to our first question, you also meant that you didn’t have a better idea than all those approaches?
– Well, what I meant was that there isn’t one big flaw, one attitude, or return to some previous article of faith, that can explain everything. About that, your systems folks are right, there are many forces in the system that interact in ways that we can’t say we fully understand, but they are valiantly trying to get that understanding.
……………………………………………………………………………….Understanding the System?But Acknowledging that We Don’t Know What the ‘Next System’ Should Be
– That’s what we have been saying all along — I mean Abbe Boulah and his buddy at the university. And if we acknowledge that: we see all the interesting theories and proposals and initiatives out there that people are putting out and pushing: we have to appreciate all those efforts, even if we suspect that some of them are not going to work out — but the thing is, we don’t know. We don’t know, and we don’t agreeon what the ‘Next System’ should look like. So the interim conclusion is that we should not only let them all pursue those diverse efforts. Even support them — on some conditions, of course.
– What are those conditions — I mean if you were in a position to impose conditions, which I’m not sure I’d be comfortable with?
– The conditions are simple: Don’t try to overthrow the ‘whole’ current system by violent or coercive means; and don’t get in the way of other experiments, even if you disagree with them. This also meas not to hurt or persecute people who don’t agree with you. That will probably require that the experiments will be small, local, tolerant of each other.
– Difficult enough to make that work smoothly…
– I agree. But there are two main arguments for that strategy: First, that there are so many different geographical, climatical, cultural and economic conditions that make it plausible to try out many different experiments according to those conditions. That itself might improve humanity’s resilience to emergencies and crises, some of which we can predict and some we can’t.
– Hmm. Makes some sense, though it’s not exactly a shining, promising vision to get an enthusiastic movement going. But what’s the other reason?
– Yes. The other reason for encouraging many diverse, even contradictory experiments? Again: even if we think there will have to be one global, unified ‘system’ to get us through all those crises, we currently have to admit, again: that we don’t know and are very far from agreeing about what that system should be like.
– I see that, yes: Our previous record with grand systems of global aspirations hasn’t been that encouraging. More importantly: if we try to impose one such system, by coercion. force, revolution, propaganda, and other devious means, it will only lead to resistance and wars — wars being of course not only one of the very problems we have to try to avoid, but increasingly so devastating to both losers and victors, that no grand system will help us to recover from them.
……………………………………………..Sharing Experiences For Discussion, Evaluation
– Yes. So the third condition for supporting ‘alternative’ schemes is that they must share their experiences — both successes and failures and problems they run into — so that we — humanity as a whole — can learn what works and what doesn’t, and can eventually come to agreement about whether we can fashion a global system that everybody can agree with and support.
…………………………………………………..Negotiating Common Road Rule Agreements
– Or, if the outcome is that a global unified system is not the way to go, what fewer global agreements we will have to negotiate to keep a more diverse strategy alive and prospering. The common ‘rules of the road’ we’ve been talking about.
– That does sound more like a vision. Still not exactly one you’ll get people to want to fight for though?
…………………………………………………………………………. A Vision Worth Fighting For?
– You mean the folks that like to fight to beat or kill or humiliate other people, or take their stuff? Yes, that will be a problem: if that’s what it takes to make one group or other ‘great’ and successful. But isn’t that precisely one of the problems we are facing, that we’d like to remedy?
……………………………………………………………………..Needed: The Discourse Platform
– Hey, Bog-Hubert: I’d like to hear more about that Abbeboulistic vision, if that’s what it is. How, well, I don’t know how to put this — how would you make that work?
– Great question, Sophie. Yes, there are some provisions we need to talk about. And some new tools. It eventually gets to the one issue that has been strangely neglected in all the approaches we see. Let’s see. First, I think we can agree that there must a platform, a forum, where all the experiences can be brought in for information, discussion, and working out preliminary agreements. There are some papers that describe what such a platform might be like.
– Who’d organize such a platform? Would it be the UN or something like it?
– That’s a big question. Many people would be against that, because it would be not only organized along the lines of existing systems — nations — that they see as part of the problem, especially as this translates into the decision-making rules it uses. Voting, for example. Small nations, big nations, money, the way nations are increasingly influences by big transnational corporations and other entities. And because it looks suspiciously like the Big Brother World Government many people are afraid of.
– So it would have to be ‘impartial’ with respect to any competing governance systems? Tall order.
– Right, Vodçek. We talked about some of the principles that should govern the ‘Public Planning Discourse’ that this entity would support — like the idea that decisions should be more determined by the merit of contributions, arguments, the pros and cons, to the discourse, than by votes. The papers we talked about have suggestions for that, we think, that should be discussed. It would take some effort to get people to learn and understand how that works. What you said a while ago, Sophie, that we don’t know how to argue planning proposals well and make decisions accordingly. Work to do.
– So was that what you were doodling about over there, Bog-Hubert?
………………………………………………………………The Missing Aspect: Control of Power
– Not really. I think we are ready to bring those ideas into the discussion. No, what I talked about with Abbeboulah was the issue that’s missing in all those approaches and theories — the issue nobody is talking about other than in the traditional terms that are part of the problem…
– Well, what’s that big problem?
– The problem of power, of course. Power. And how to control it.
– Why is that a problem? I mean, yes it’s a fact of life, like hunger and greed and diseases: they happen, it’s a constant battle. But don’t we have adequate provisions in place, I mean in the US and most liberal, democratic modern constitutions, — the separation of powers, elections, term limits and so on? So yes, it’s a problem, but we just have to make sure the rules are followed, don’t we? I’m not making light of it, I just don’t see …
…………………………………………………………………Inadequate Current Power Controls
– I understand, professor. And from what I know about these things, I think that these governance designs are some of humanity’s greatest achievements. But what we are seeing is that they are not enough: they are just provisions for the government segment of societies. And they are being overrun by other forces: technology, the economic power of so-called private business — the trans-national corporations, as well as the national and global finance sector. And who controls the media.
– Huh. Are you talking about election financing? Yeah, I agree that it’s disgusting. But people are beginning to see through that aren’t they? There are some campaigns that are getting huge amounts of money from small individual voter contributions only, and some billionaires who are trying to buy elections with their massive advertising campaigns aren’t doing so well at all?
– It’s much more than that, I’m afraid. Just take the one phenomenon as an example: The lobbyists in the capital, — yeah, they can’t give congressmen and government officials big expensive gifts anymore. But what they are doing is to get close to the representatives and senator’ aides, help them write the proposed bills, where they take advantage of the old ‘turkey’ tradition that allows bill sponsors to add funding for special interest ‘turkey’ projects for their constituents in laws that are mainly, and titled, about something else entirely. So you get trillion-dollar bills about the fight to deal with epidemics that have 500 billions worth of provisions that help big corporations, and billions worth of special help for owners of private business airplanes in them — that even people who are against such practices can’t vote down because that would kill or delay the main bill the people desperately need. And the lobbyists promise those aides lucrative jobs in their companies after their term is over.
– Good grief.
– You can say that again… And the leaders and even representatives of such ‘democracies’ who are ‘helping’ other countries kick out their dictators are selling those countries systems that are even more vulnerable to such power abuses — because they want to make sure their own corporate sponsors will make some nice profits in those places. Of course, those forces find it much easier to deal with the new power holders in those countries than to deal with the unruly, ignorant masses, — and using their economic contributions to help the addictive force of power to turn them into … dictators.
…………………………….What Can Be Done About Power? And What Shouldn’t Be?
– So what do you think ought to be done about that?
– The first thing is to get people to think about the problem — to inform them about all the abuse, which is difficult if the media are controlled by forces behind the shenanigans.
– Well, that’s one thing. And some people are getting all worked up about it — agitating, organizing protest rallies, ‘occupying’ this institution or that, getting themselves arrested — I don’t really see that helping. And if you get a little pandemic running, that lets you order people to stay home and arrest them if they get together in groups of more than ten people — all very conveniently justifiable of course — I wouldn’t begin to argue with that — you’ve got things nicely under control.
– So again: what do you think should be done about it? You got to have some solutions to offer people? Some ideas? First steps?
……………………………………………………………………………………………….Some First Ideas
– Yes. Well, it so happens that in the proposals for the Public Planning Discourse that we talked about, there are some provisions that could be used to begin to diminish the role of money and power in politics and public planning. But it’s just one part of the issue, no general panacea, and certainly not something that can bring overnight change. Part of the purpose of the Planning Discourse is to support the development and discussion of new ideas, new solutions. Ignite the creativity of all segments of society, not just disrupt, destroy, marginalize, suppress. That idea of ‘disruptive creativity’ is a dangerous one, likely to backfire no matter how brilliant.
– That’s certainly different from all the movement campaigns that are flooding my social media platforms: they all are just asking for money to promote their ideas, to dominate the development, not really encourage or contribute new ideas or insights.
– You’re not alone in that perception, Sophie. But let’s hear more of those ideas, Bog-Hubert.
– Okay, Vodçek. First let me remind you of the two general rules Abbé Boulah keeps repeating, that applies to these ideas too:
………….No Sudden Overthrow: ‘Gradual Parallel’ Systems Implementation
The first one is: Any new solutions — even if they are design for ‘global’ unified systems or agreements — should not be introduced ‘overnight’, by force or coercion or surprise, but gradually, on a small scale, ‘parallel’ to the existing systems. The old ‘skunkworks’ idea of R&D companies are a good model for that. Or his ‘innovation zones’ proposal, to introduce new systems first in areas (geographical or other) that have been devastated by natural or man-made disasters — so that they will be perceived as disaster recovery aid rather that as deliberate efforts to displace the old traditions and thereby generating unnecessary opposition from folks depending on the relative stability of conditions for their own means of survival.
– I remember, we did discuss those a while ago here, didn’t we?
……………………………………………..’Collateral’ Aspects Of Discourse Improvements:
…………………………………………………………Merit Points for Discourse Contributions
– Good, so we don’t need to spend much time repeating the details on that: but keep in mind that the proposals should meet that rule as much as possible. The other recommendation is that new system provisions should try to serve many different purposes simultaneously, not just one. And if you remember our discussions about the ‘side-effects’ or ‘collateral benefits’ of the notion of ‘merit points’ for citizen contributions to the planning discourse, you’ll see that they are a good example of that kind of idea, — and they could contribute to new, different power controls.
– Would it be useful if you could give us a brief summary of that, Bog-Hubert?
– I’ll try. It started with the investigation of how pro and con arguments about plan proposals could be evaluated, so that decisions could be more visibly and transparently linked to that merit. So there was the technique of developing a measure of plausibility for such arguments, and for constructing a measure of plausibility support for plan proposals. This seemed necessary to get around the problem that for projects to deal with ‘wicked’ problems affecting people in many different governance entities, decision-making by ‘voting’ is no longer a good tool (if it ever was): How to decide who is entitled to vote, for example? And are voters in different legislative bodies equally seriously affected, even adequately informed about the implications of the plan, etc.?
– Would be nice if that could be made to work, yes. But there’s more, to that collateral fallout, you say?
– Yes, Dexter. To encourage citizens to contribute such arguments — but also other information, ideas, it seemed useful to offer contributors some rewards for doing that: ‘merit points’. But not just for any wild and unsupported claims, and endless repetition of the same stuff: only the ‘first’ entries of the same essential content would ‘count towards points. We think that would encourage people to get their contributions in as fast as possible. And the entries would be evaluated by the discourse community for plausibility and importance, significance: rewarding plausible claims with adequate supporting evidence positively and lies, mere speculation and flawed thinking negatively.
– I see. This would become a kind of ‘valuable player’ account for contributing citizens?
– Right. A ‘reputation’ record of meaningful contributions.
– Interesting. What would that be good for?
– Excellent question, Vodçek. For the kind of ‘currency’ in such an account to become meaningful, it must become ‘fungible’, that is, people must be able to use it. A first use would be, I think you’d agree, that this record might become part of a candidate’s election or appointment to public office. It would be an indication not only of citizen’s interest an willingness to engage in public affairs, but also of their quality of judgment. Reckless, unsupported claims or outright lies would be getting ‘negative’ ratings, so a devious busybody’s account of a lot of nonsense entries wouldn’t be as valuable.
– I see the potential value in that idea, Bog-Hubert. But this part of our discussion started out with your wild claim about power being the big problem, didn’t it? So now you are just saying it helps getting better people into official positions. Those would be positions with power, wouldn’t they? Aren’t the people in such positions just as susceptible to the temptations of power than they are now? So how does this help the power problem?
…………………………………………………………………………………….Merit points and power?
– Ah: now we are getting to the interesting parts. Perhaps we should first see if we can agree on some basics about power. It’s not just a kind of necessary evil, that we can’t do anything about, but a key human desire, perhaps even something like a ‘right’. Part of our basic ‘right’ to the pursuit of happiness? If we acknowledge that people ‘need’ not only basic life necessities like food and shelter, and the relative absence of threats to those, but also the freedom to that pursuit — power, empowerment — to ‘make a difference’ in their lives. We think that’s a fundamental right, don’t we? And that becomes a problem only when it gets in the way of other people’s right to pursue their different forms of life and happiness.
– But don’t we need to have people in some kinds of power positions in any form of organized society?
– Right. commissioner. ‘Power to the people’ also means the people’s power to appoint people to positions where they make decisions on behalf of the rest of us. So we can feel secure in our smaller different pursuits. I guess you are worried about the conflict between the ideas we just mentioned, about how the people’s assessment of the merit of discussions about plans and policies plans that should determine the decisions, and now the sudden admissions that we need people in power to make such decisions for us? As you should be.
– Yes, that’s a good way to put it.
– Okay. Would it help to make some crude distinctions about the kinds of decisions that we need in society? One kind is the orderly ‘running’ of things in society — mostly routine, ‘maintenance’ decisions, carrying out the detailed implementation of policies. And also what to do in case there are unprecedented emergencies, for which there are no policies yet, and no time to wait for the outcome of careful thorough discussions to agree on them. The other kind are the policy issues themselves: for those, we need the discourse and wide popular participation and assessment of the merit of the information people contribute.
– I’m not sure the distinction is always as clear as you make it sound? Somewhat fuzzy?
– I agree, professor. But is it sufficient to see that we need both: the captain of the ship to decide whether to pass the iceberg to starboard or port, the chief engineer make the engine deliver the needed power to safely steer past it and not get driven into the ice below the surface, the helmsman to carry out the captain’s order?
– I see. So the merit point accounts would help us decide whether we can trust the different kinds of chiefs to make their respective decisions expertly and responsibly. And you are saying that current elections aren’t doing that well enough?
– Or that even initially well-intentioned, competent people can be ‘corrupted’ ? Yes — by money, or the promised they had to make to entities financing their election campaigns, or by the addictive power of power.
– So how does that merit point system deal with that problem?
– Well, don’t you see? The merit point accounts now contain a new ‘currency’. And that can be used, just like we use money to pay for life’s necessities, as a matter of course, to ‘pay‘ for the privilege of making important decisions. The more important, the more you’ll have to ‘pay’. And doing that, as a kind of ‘investment’ in your decisions, you’ll end up using up your credits. We must link the use of the power command buttons to the merit point account: no more credits in your account, no power for the button.
– Well. As the Norwegian Bachelor Farmers in Minnesota would say: That’s certainly ‘different‘.
– What do you know about Bachelor Minnesota Farmers, Sophie?
– Just listening to Garrison Keillor in my younger days…But what about necessary decisions that need to be made, even by a captain who’s used up his credit, or who’s called on to make decisions for which his account doesn’t have enough points in it?
………………………………………………………….Does ‘Accountability’ Require Accounts?
– Well, he may have supporters, won’t he? People who have accounts with some credits in them: can’t they transfer some of their credits to their great leader, to ’empower’ him or her to make those big decisions. Which now makes them ‘accountable’ too: the fancy talk about ‘accountability’ is really meaningless without there being an account that can be emptied out if you invest your hard-earned reputation in the wrong leaders or the wrong decisions you’ll empower them to make?
– Sounds better than just money, where we don’t know whether it was stole or ‘hard-earned’. I suppose we should be able to specify what kinds of decisions we are endorsing with our support points?
……………………………………………………….Implementation on a ‘Skunkworks’ Basis?
– Good idea. Well, the adoption of such a system would certainly be a topic for a wider discourse in a larger platform that our little gang of ‘taverniers de la table ronde’ here. But do you see how it could be started out as a ‘parallel’ system — perhaps as something the polling industry could take on as a ‘skunkworks’ project? Small, local, experimental, to see how it works?
– Careful: You’re cruising for a permanent labeling as a ‘merit point skunk’, my friend…
– By people who don’t have anything better to contribute, that would be a danger we’d have to live with. Until their current systems start exuding even stronger odors.
– Aren’t we there yet? So your doodling over there, that was about how to sneak such a system into the larger society, Bog-Hubert?
– Yeah. Well, it needs some more work, doesn’t show all the system parts. Aren’t there any systems thinking folks around that could help with that, Dexter?
– I can’t say I’m aware of any, off the cuff…
– Yes! Awareness! That’s it! That’s what we need! Right, Vodçek?
– Who said that? I’ll have to consider emergency power decisions…

Comment:
The response to this report from The Fog Island Tavern, so far, was somewhat contradictory. There was one note suggesting that the author should look for a think tank to join — we are not sure if this was meant to be a compliment or a new version of the alleged Chinese curse ‘may you live in interesting times’… We will have to study the true intent of that opinion some more, meanwhile taking it as complimentary but leaving it to the think tanks to take the initiative about joining forces.
The other comment was by Bog-Hubert himself, and turned out so intense (and laden with unmentionable Arabic curses he had learned from a French veteran of the Algerian war) that the administrator of the site — a fellow named Al Gorisum or something — decided it was not publishable in its original state. But in the interest of the discourse on this important topic, it was decided to try to summarize the main points of his irate rant.
The main focus of his protest was aimed at the selection of the diagram — that was admittedly picked out almost randomly from his stack of coffee-soaked napkins and cleaned up somewhat to make it more legible. (The name of the reporter must be kept confidential in view of Bog-Hubert’s rude threats to the investigator’s health.) He claimed to have warned his Tavernier audience as to the tentative and incomplete nature of these sketches; this one, he complained, selected out of the middle of a sequence of increasingly complex diagrams, was missing several essential elements, and thereby clouding the brilliance of the underlying Abbeboulahean theory to the point of invisibility.
The missing forces and element in the process, he claims, are the following: The different branches of government, the financing sector of the economy, education, the aspect of infrastructure, the media, law enforcements and the military, to name only a few. The latter two being important tools in the hands of people in power who are encountering increasing opposition, but being increasingly addicted to power, are unable to relinquish it, and feel compelled to secure their hold on the reins by coercion, force and oppression. He raised the preposterous hypothesis — a conspiracy theory if there ever was one, in the opinion of the above-mentioned Mr. Gorisum — that all governments leaning towards authoritarianism silently conspire to maintain in their constituencies the impression of increasing criminality and mutual enmity, as the best excuse to keep building up their law enforcement and military, to serve as the ultimate means to unite the people against these threats, and if necessary, to keep their internal opposition in line.
However: this aspect, he proclaims, is only one of the missing connections between the organization of society and the problem of power. The manner of application of power in ordinary circumstances is to be found in the ‘transformation’ black boxes in the diagram (shown there as crossed circles), where the percentages of flows of money and energy are set — for example: how much of the money paid by citizens for life-support goods will be diverted into the private accounts of the distribution and production sectors, and taxes for infrastructure. These ‘settings’ are, so Bog-Hubert’s interpretation of Abbe Boulah’s theory, the matter of the policies that govern government’s execution and monitoring of these flows. (He did not mention the obvious fact that some of the ‘tax’ money — from citizens as well as the production etc. sectors will end up in private accounts of people running government….), Policies that should, in one sense of the phrase ‘government of, by, for the people’, be worked out and determined in the new institution of the ‘Public Discourse Support Platform’ they are proposing.
An incomplete and obscurely caffeinated comment of Bog-hubert’s complaint seems to hint at another conspiracy-like hypothesis. The very complexity of the increasingly convoluted interaction of the flows and forces that prevented him from completing a convincing and enlightening overall diagram: can it be seen as the excuse of so many movements in society as well as in the ‘social transformation’ communities to rely on complexity-reducing stratagems such as ‘crowd wisdom’, ‘leadership’ intuition, and simple reliance on the (benign?) guidance of the ‘invisible hand’ of laissez-faire economies?
It seems very necessary, lest they be spread in their crude incomplete form, to subject the questions raised by Bog-Hubert’s claims and their alleged distortion in the report on the Tavern conversation to some serious systems thinking and discussion. There are further implications of some of the claims involved, that also should be investigated by more competent researchers.
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