Posts Tagged 'politics'

An impatient strategy session

In the Fog Island Tavern

– I just don’t understand things anymore, Bog-Hubert

– Understand what, Vodçek?

– Anything. Why bright people keep complaining. About things they don’t like. Blamimg people about what happened, moaning about what is going to happen. But don’t having anything better to offer. And why people who actually have something to offer can’t get around to even get it out there for discussion. Much less actually doing something useful.

– Hmm. I’d agree with the first part there, Vodçek. The folks who lost the election? Or the ones who won but don’t have more than a concept of a plan for what they’re going to do? Or the ones who didn’t even vote because they didn’t like either option? 

– Which seems like a somewhat rational option.  What, commissioner?

– Well, isn’t voting, free elections, the essential basis of democracy? 

– Maybe just to avoid getting blamed for the results of either choice. But how come that grand basis of democracy ends up producing outcomes people in both camps are complaining about? Both the folks who are voting themselves authoritarian or some other ‘-isist’ leaders? Ironically, by voting?  And the ones who are appalled about that?

– Ah, the old paradox of democracy… The free elections to vote yourself a dictator…

– Don’t distract us from the topic with old paradoxes, Professor. What about those who say that the democratic systems and rules just need to be applied right? 

– So why don’t they get people to actually vote for that?  

– Well, some do, but don’t have enough charisma or something. But there are issues that fundamentally can’t be properly resolved by elections, by voting. 

– What are those? 

– You can’t get around the old fact that majority voting ends up leaving up to half the population dissatisfied. As if all the debating and advertising and funny caps resolve all the pros and cons and misunderstandings. But now there’s  also the concern that so many problems we are facing affect people across two or several borders: Voting districts, countries, the entire globe. All with different governance mechanisms and rules so it’s impossible to even decide who is properly allowed to vote

– Yes: the ‘non-local’ or even ‘global’ controversies? 

– Right. And Vodçek is right when he doesn’t understand why people don’t seem to even want to talk about that. Why, for example, the experts with the computers and simulation models who used to claim that systems thinking is humanity’s currently best tool for tackling just those global crises: why are they all dealing with ‘approaches’ for solving problems with small Face-to-face groups of selected members of very ‘partisan’ entities locked in competitive market-share, growth-obsessed win-lose mindsets. Even ST folks begin to advocate ‘floating’: refraining from recommendations for what to do, but instead getting ‘understanding’ by just observing what happens by letting things evolve and happen? Not even talking about taking responsibility for the problems their earlier so confident recipes themselves may have contributed to the current state of things? That we now can’t begin to understand much less ‘solve’? Sorry for the long rant.

– You got several points there, Bog-hubert. But what about the second part of Vodçek’s  complaint, the one you don’t seem to agree with? Or did I not understand what you meant there? About people who may have viable ideas but that we don’t hear from?

– Thanks for coming back to that one, Professor. Well, I may not be well enough informed about everything that’s going on out there. But so much of what I hear and read is put in so general terms as to sound just like a wish list of ideals — freedom, equality, dealing with climate change (or its effects, if not its causes, especially if it is claimed that are caused by what we humans do), pollution, crime, immigration, poverty, health issues and epidemics, wars, and so on. Sure. But not much specifics: what agreements, policies, projects are needed to actually achieve those things — to the satisfaction of everybody, not just a small minority of people? 

– Coming to think about it, I have often wondered about the specifics we do read about: those ’benchmark goals’ — to reach such a critical value of a variable to reach by such and such date. But little abou how to get there? Ban habit or practice X? Or, if we don’t like that, for whatever reason, ban the books and don’t fund the research and teaching that produce the recommendations?

– Wait, guys. Don’t we know there are many people individuals and groups that are working and actually trying out better ways of doing things? Sure, mostly small groups and initiatives, as you pointed out, it seems. But fascinating and promising things and ideas that should be supported and tried out. I have heard you and AbbeBoulah talk about those things right here in Vodçek’s tavern, Bog-Hubert?

– True. The problem, in my mind, is that they are not adequatey supported, don’t communicate well among each other, and aren’t accessibly integrated in a comprehensive discourse leading to widely accepted agreements. Feasible agreements that won’t make life miserable for significant parts of the world’s population. Or so controversial as to trigger strong opposition and even war. ‘

– You say ‘feasible’ — isn’t that a key problem in itself? Do we have the means, the tools, the procedural provisions to get the needed things done? Much as we are all for those wonderful goals?

– Yes, Commissioner, good question. I don’t see much about proposals and discussion of the practical details for actually reaching agreements about what should be done about the problems. And about people or institutions who have something useful to say about those issues but aren’t coming forward with their ideas? 

– I was going to ask you about just that: Hasn’t your, or rather Abbeboulah’s, buddy at the university been working on just such ideas?  What keeps him from coming forward?

– You are right. That was what Vodçek was getting upset about  — the heated discussion right here about that last night

– Sorry I missed that. Anything useful coming out of that? 

– Well, if there was, Vodçek still isn’t happy with the outcome. He is mad at our friend for not coming up with a clear statement about his ideas, just papers and books,  Maybe it’s the way it’s displayed, communicated? No grand manifesto written on the napkins political leaders could use for their speeches. But some general agreement strategy might be summarized, by a skilful journalist. At least about the preparatory steps for making use of the insights and work that’s already going on, that were mentioned.

– Can’t you tell us about some of that, briefly?

– Good question. It got late and my maturity-based privileges include memory lapses you’ll have to consider. 

– Try anyway.

– Okay. There are indeed a few things you might call preparatory provisions, to facilitate the process for planning, policy-making and governance, that should be started as soon as possible instead of the endless commiserating about the various trends and election results. And while I can list them only one at a time, they aren’t in a systematic step-by step sequence but should be started  and pursued simultaneously.

– We’ll keep that in mind. Go on.

– A few headings: The discourse platform, with provisions for evaluation of contributions, that lead to agreements based on the merit of the contributions.  The need for better measures of performance of plans and policies: ’merit point accounts’ and their use for better empowerment of the public, as well as control of power of official figures. Better provisions  (‘sanctions’) to ensure adherence to agreements. Each of these will require more work, publication, research, developments and testing before full implementation: they are urgent global discussion agenda items: More specifics?

– Please.

Okay:

o The Public Planning Discourse Platform. The development of such a platform is a main concern, especially for ‘non-local’ and ’global’ projects. Open to all involved or affected parties, neutral, but with some more detailed ‘netiquettte’ provisions, for example avoiding mere repetition, personal characterization of other participants, straying from topics being discussed, etc. ‘Unformatted’ contributions must be accepted, but offer concise, comprehensive overviews of the state of the discourse. This will require some formalization agreements. Incentives for participation, and for evaluation of the merit of contributions. Separating claims of ‘content’ from judgments of their merit: plausibility, not just ‘truth’, supporting evidence, significance etc. Development of decision or agreement support based on that merit, transparently — supplementing the ‘vote’ counts of number of affected parties.  

o ‘Game versions’ of the platform. The development of an overall platform for global projects will take effort, time; and experiments for testing and importantly, education of the public in using the tools. This can be done with discourse ‘games’ played on cellphones; but protocols for ‘live events’ on small projects of public planning forum events. 

o Evaluation procedures.  Two main ‘evaluation tasks’ for which appropriate procedures must be developed:  a) evaluation of discourse contributions — ideas, proposals, concepts and details, arguments, information comments; and b) the quality or ‘goodness’ of the evolving plan or policy ‘solutions’. The two tasks are of course related:  the aggregated judgments for (b) should be based on the merit of (a) judgments. But their purpose is different: (a)-judgments will be used to build up individual partiipant’s ‘merit point accounts’ that will become measures of their judgment, trustworthiness and familiarity with the subject matter of the discourse; while (b)-judgments are the basis for the ‘plan goodness’ decision indicators. (There are several such indicators, not just one yes/no vote for each solution alternative: any proposed plan has at least two: accept, reject and don’t do anything about the problem).

o Empowerment versus control of power. Currently, this issue does not seem to be considered a topic of design or discussion for change: parties involved in public controversies are seen as seeking the (unilateral) power to make the decisions, as a matter of course, within the traditional systems of rules and ‘balance’ constraints. Their common shortcomings include reliance on coercive sanctions the more powerful party imposes on violators, and opponents, rather than on the outcome of deliberative reasoning and negotiation. Which, on the international — global — level still ends up with the application of force: war. Acceptance of this ignores fundamental aspects of the issue:  First, human beings seek ‘empowerment’ — to control and ‘make a difference’ in their lives’, as well as to experience the ‘adrenaline rushes’ of exercising power. Second, the historical insight that power is addictive and impairs the power holder’s mental stability: the ‘Caligula syndrome’. The frequency and severity of ‘global’ challenges calling for ‘global’ decisions, as well as the frightening coercive and destructive forces of modern war weaponry makes the development of better tools for managing these conflicting forces an immensely urgent agenda item. 

o For all these agenda items, we know there are ideas and tools available or being considered, but comprehensive and globally accepted application to the current challenges is dangerously neglected: the opposing attitudes of ‘saving democracy’ (as currently practiced) and the trends to return to governance patterns (e.g. reliance on the power and judgment of authoritative leaders) from recent and distant historical past periods are equally flawed. Unworthy of the human wisdom acquired throughout history from so many failures and suffering and so many unnecessary deaths.

– Thanks for listening to this summary. Something to think about and work to do. I’m sure there are questions:  perhaps we could continue this tomorrow? 


A  Wishipedia Entry from the Fog Island Tavern 

– Hey Vodçek — is that Abbé Boulah sitting out there on the Tavern deck — is he hiding?

– Bog-Hubert, good morning! Yes it’s him — he must be tired from the trip to the rig, hasn’t said much at all this morning, just sitting there, scribbling in his notebook. Well, I guess he did see you, or his coffee is getting cold.  Coming in for a refill, AbbeBoulah? 

– Yes, I could use that. Hey, Bog-Hubert. Good morning Sophie: joining us for coffee? 

– Hi. I wasn’t sure it was you hiding out there behind the stack of chairs, deep in thought. What’s on your mind?  Good news or bad? 

– That’s the problem: I’m not sure. 

– Huh. Well, can we help you sort it out? As long as it isn’t election politics…

– In a way it is, out on the rigs. But nothing like … 

– Wait — are you saying there may be good news even in part of that? That calls for some explanation.

– Good point, But things are really different out on the rigs, you know. I am surprised every time I go out there. 

– So what’s the good news then, that surprised you?

– Well, Sophie,  it’s actually a whole bundle of things — long story. 

– Okay, the fog is thick, customers have lost their way:  is the day long enough for the story?

– I’ll try to keep it preprocrustified. 

– Stuff the weird references, even though I admit it sounds better than ‘short’.

– Okay, I’ll try to behave. So, remember, I told you about  the weird kinds of societies all those refugees are hobbling together out there on the abandoned oil rigs. They were put out there — temporarily but voluntarily — because there wasn’t enough housing available on the mainland. Allegedlly. To learn enough of the language and rules and habits of the places where they hoped to end up to get a job and so on.  

– So what big issues are there to decide — if they are all getting off the rigs?

– Well, it turned out that some of them decided to stay out there. I guess they had become friends, felt safer out there than in any foreign country, or got intrigued by the opportunity of figuring out a better way of organizing society, They were actually using some of the ideas of our crazy friend over at the university. 

– Yes, I remember. The notion of making collective decisions based on the merit of the discourse they had to organize to reach agreements. The problems of figuring out that merit, and of making sure the agreements were kept, and so on, wasn’t it? 

– Good, Renfroe! I see not everything we talked about here is already down the river of oblivion. 

– What are the bigger issues they have to decide upon out there, then? 

– Well, besides the simple task of basic rules for living together in a kind of cramped environment, for one, there was the question of what they’d do for living if they stay. Some people like the notion of fust turning the rigs into tourist entertainent destinations for cruise ships, like they tried at first, besides the everyday education activities. Then they realized that there is a lot of ocean and weather-related research that could be done out there, and thought they should  focus on that. The idea of the rigs as venues of research conferences grew out of that. Others were intent on sticking with the issues of making the rigs self-supporting, even for food and some stuff they could export, actually the start of large floating settlements. 

– Ah: getting ahead of the rise of ocean levels when all the polar ice has melted? 

– Not sure if they are that ambitious. But each of those development ideas would call for different changes to the original design of the rigs, 

– Okay. I get it.

– So now, while they were they were discussing and working on these issues,  the kids —remember, there are entire families out there — were asking what the grownups were doing, and wanted to start games at doing that. They didn’’t even know what to call that, like the traditional oppupations like baker, fireman, fisherman, police officers.  

– I can see that — I  guess there aren’t many children’s books with stories about such places when they were actually working oil rigs.

– Of course, Bog-hubert, But they all wanted to be astronauts, star war fighters. Oil rig work just wasn’t that glamorous…

– Well there’s that. If the kids had actually gotten used to TV, movies, internet; many of of them didn’t. So out there, they just tried to imitate whatever they saw their parents were doing.  And one of them, an old refugee from a small village in Turkey that got destroyed in the earthquake, he made a kind of game out of the argumentative planning discourse idea, with basic paper markers and wall display tools. ‘Templates’ of good discourse play elements — problems, plan proposals, the different kinds of questions and answers and arguments, even ’systems’ and ‘decision rules’ — the works. To have fun as well as actuallty teaching them this new way of working on issues that need collective decisions.  

– Sonds interesting. Have mainland toy companies gotten wind of that yet?

– I don’t know. maybe just because the kids got so excited about this that they started to expand and mess with the basic concepts and patterns, there’s no clear picture yet. The kids are inventing new names  for these patterns, some of which hadn’t even been recognized before, like the planning argument pattern and its variations, that weren’t in the old logic textbooks yet. And fallacies. They started inventing funny trolls and demons, gnomes that obstruct discussions, drew pictures of them and gave them names: Wonderful names like ‘happendash’ or ’noheadreason’ (for arguments with the main premise missing or ‘taken for granted’), ‘wishiwashi’, ‘wikinokeniker’ (for fancy definitions from the wikipedia or dictionary; I don’t remember them all. 

–    Sounds like they’re having fun. 

– They do: you should see them at play. But one really clever thing that one of the old refugee built into the game was this: The ‘cards’ with those patterns, that kids could call out (and win points for) would have the fungly — get it — ugly but funny — face of the gnome on one side, and the kid calling it out if they recognized it in somebody’s comment would win points for ‘rescuing the discussion from that troll. But on the other side of the card would be a drawing showing how that fungly face could turn into a happyface — if the kid could suggest a way to help its author to turn it into a valid, valuable or even just ‘better’ contributions. In which case both of then would ‘earn’ a much higher number of merit points. And those transformation actions would be accompanied by much noise, applause, songs and instant rewards (a hug, a cookie or dried fruit, and fireworks — like lightning effects)…

– I get the sneaky ruse! Inserting adrenaline-rush triggers into cooperative activities? Instead of getting their highs of ‘beating’ others, like all our competitive games that makes everybody losers except the one winner…

– You got the idea, Sophie. But that’s not all.

– There was more?  I can’t wait to hear it!

– Well, it turned out that the grownups began to use some of the things they’s learned from the kid’s game in their ‘serious’ discussions. And that started a whole flurry of new adaptations and experiments. 

– But that’s really interesting and encouraging, isn’t it?  

– Sure. Needs a lot of work though. 

– So that’s the bad news? It sounds like an exciting project!

– No, the bad news is: they asked me to find some programmer or outfit to develop the code to program those things into their online protocols…

— ooo —